Varieties of Risk

AHRC sponsored research project

Selection of recent work that relate to the project.

Ebert, P., Smith, M., and Durbach I. (forthcoming). "Varieties of Risk." Philosophy and Phenomenological Research. pp.1-24. Open Access.

Smith, M. (forthcoming). "Against legal probabilism" in Robson, J. and Hoskins, Z. (eds), Truth and Trial. Routledge.

Ebert, P. (2019). "Bayesian Reasoning in avalanche terrain: a theoretical study."* Journal for Adventure Education and Outdoor Research*, 19(1), 84-95. 2019. Open Access.

Smith, M (2018). "When does evidence suffice for conviction?" Mind, 127(508): 1193-1218. Open Access.

Ebert, P, Smith, M., and Durbach, I. (2018). “Lottery Judgements: a philosophical and experimental study.” Philosophical Psychology, 31(1), 110-138. Open Access.

Smith, M. (2017). "Why throwing 92 heads in a row is not surprising." Philosophers' Imprint, 17(21), 2017. Open Access

Smith, M. (2016). Between Probability and Certainty: What Justifies Belief. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Ebert, P. and Robertson, S. (2013). “A Plea for Risk” (with Simon Robertson). Royal Institute of Philosophy Supplement, 73, pp. 45-­64. 2013. We are grateful to copyright holder Royal Institute of Philosophy for making the paper generally available. The paper is published in: Open Access

Ebert, P. and Photopoulou, T. (2013). "Bayes' beacon: avalanche prediction, competence and evidence for competence. Modelling the effect of competent and incompetent predictions of highly improbable events". Proceedings of the International Snow Science Workshop (ISSW), Grenoble, France, pp.363-70. 2013. (NOTE: ERRATUM ADDED AUGUST 2018). Open Access.